Oil and gas production forecasts are based on drillinginfos prodcast software that produces basin specific oil and gas production projections based on estimated breakeven prices and estimated future observed market prices. Investment and taxation guide 9 foreword welcome to the 8 th edition of the pwc indonesia oil and gas in indonesia investment and taxation guide. In 2021, forecast dry natural gas production averages. Posting its second annual gain in a row, oil prices closed 2017 up more than 12%. Due to current market uncertainty, the labour market outlook 2017 to 2021 for canadas oil and gas industry report presents workforce projections for two scenarios, generated using petrolmis labour forecasting model. By the end of 2016, the oil and gas services sector directly employed 81,500 workers. The gdp growth rate of subsaharan africa is predicted to recover from 1.
John england 6 additionally, big picture issues often cloud the longer term of the industry. The eia assumes that demand for petroleum flattens out as utilities rely more on natural gas and renewable energy. Oil and gas industry in india investment opportunities. Short takes from our experts on the oil and gas industry. The eia has lowered its price estimates from 2017, reflecting the stability of the shale oil market. Increased energy efficiency offsets growth in energy demand. Dec 27, 2017 all things considered, 2017 produced a veritable seachange in the outlook for the u. Opecs world oil outlook woo is part of the organizations commitment to market stability. India is the 4th largest importer of liquefied natural gas lng.
The first is about the world of petroleum and the refining industry, the second is about natural gas and renewable sources. Similar uncertainties persist across eias outlook for other energy sources, including natural gas and electricity. How shale oil and gas is driving us refining and petrochemical investment. Natural gas prices remain weak and under pressure from oversupply and soft lng demand. The oil field services industry has responded with a range of actions, with notable cost reductions and the removal of operating cost and capacity out of the market. But despite challenges that include upstream volatility, midstream constraints, and industry consolidation, shifting customer demands and new technologies are opening up opportunities for oil and gas companies to explore. Industry outlook the oil and gas produced in the gulf coast region serves as feedstock to a large refining and chemical manufacturing. Receive quarterly updates on recent reports and articles from mckinsey.
The world energy outlook series is a leading source of strategic insight on the future of energy and energyrelated emissions, providing detailed scenarios that map out the consequences of different energy policy and investment choices. The 8th edition captures the latest tax and regulatory changes that have occurred in the oil and gas industry during the past two years. By browsing the site you agree to our use of cookies. India was the fourthlargest liquefied natural gas lng importer in 2017 after japan, south korea and china. In the early days of 2017, it behooves oil and gas companies to reflect on the past, while making plans robust to an uncertain future outlook. Growth in energy demand in industry and transport slows billion toe. The council is not advocating or opining on the realism or likelihood of any given scenario, but considers what would. Oil prices outlook sustained price increases in 2h17 reignited a bullish sentiment. This is the first year that we have conducted our research and i. As we embark on 2017, the oil and gas, energy, and chemical industries must grapple with uncertainty that stems from various factors including the opec deal, donald trumps election, brexit, slowing emerging economies, electric vehicles, and new regulations. Mar 25, 2020 but despite challenges that include upstream volatility, midstream constraints, and industry consolidation, shifting customer demands and new technologies are opening up opportunities for oil and gas companies to explore. Appalachian region, low natural gas prices are discouraging producers from engaging in natural gas directed drilling, and in the permian region, low oil prices reduce associated gas output from oil directed wells.
The factors are analyzed and ranked by the percentage of companies that cite them. After several years of oversupply, the oil and gas industry could very well be moving headlong into a supply crunch. Moreover, global demand for oilwhich is still growing at 1% or morecould soften further. Bp energy outlook 2019 insights from the evolving transition scenario china compound annual growth rate. The worlds top oil producers pulled off a historic deal to cut global crude output and put an end to a devastating price war. China gas markets longterm outlook h1 2017 report wood. The study covers the outlook of the oil and gas industry for 2017, forecast to 2020. The oil and gas industry is experiencing a fundamental reset and transition to new businesses and markets. After a weeklong marathon of bilateral talks and four days of. Although the oil and gas industry has always been volatile, there was nonetheless a. Employment opportunities in canadas oil and gas industry funded in part by the government of canadas sectoral initiatives program employment opportunities in canadas oil and gas industry. For the first couple of months of 2017, oil prices found themselves locked in a sideways trading range, as the tugofwar over two powerful, opposing. Natural gas price outlook 4 gulf coast energy outlook 2017. The publication of the gecf global gas outlook 2017 could not have been possible without valuable assistance from.
Market uncertainty has led the industry to a rapidlychanging range of expectations for the oil price ye 2017 brent forecasts usdbbl, 2017 real dollars summer 2018 brent forecasts usdbbl, 2017 real dollars. In 2021, forecast dry natural gas production averages 87. Addressing the communities expectations trust challenge. The study starts by looking at the oil and gas industry in 2016 and what led to the oil price crash, followed by key predictors for 2017 and determining when the rebalancing of oil demand and supply will take place. As one woman put it, you dont have to be a land man or a petroleum engineer. Published every year based on objective data and dispassionate analysis, the world energy outlook weo provides critical analysis and insights on trends in energy demand and supply, and what they mean for energy security, environmental protection and economic development the first weo was published in 1977 and it has been an annual publication since 1998. Analysis of the current problems of russias oil and gas industry in the context of the main trends of global oil and.
It has been difficult to make strategic decisions and plan for the future. Shortterm energy outlook april 2020 4 electricity, coal, renewables, and emissions the economic slowdown and stayathome orders are likely to affect u. Although we expect renewable energy sources to take an increasing share of this mix, we forecast oil and gas to account for 44% of the worlds primary energy supply in 2050, down from 53% today. Outlook for shale oil and gas finance columbia university in the city of new york by amir azar. The adi team has assessed these factors and uncertainties in our outlook for 2017.
Global oil supply and demand outlook summary 2019 h1. Projections in the annual energy outlook 2017 aeo2017 are not predictions of what will happen, but. Related topics oil and gas oil gas portfolio optimization. Rating trends across the energy sector continue to stabilize. There are other things you can do in the oil and gas industry. The council is not advocating or opining on the realism or likelihood of any.
A number of occupations are forecast to experience labour shortages. Since its inception in 1983, the ieas oil market report omr has become recognised as one of the worlds most authoritative and timely sources of data, forecasts and analysis on the global oil market including detailed statistics and commentary on oil supply, demand, inventories, prices and refining activity, as well as oil trade for oecd and selected nonoecd countries. Climate change concerns, the rise of the electric vehicle, selfdriving vehicles, and ride sharing see deloitte paper on the future of mobility make historical estimates of perpetual demand growth. The publication is a means to highlight and further the understanding of the many possible future challenges and opportunities that lie ahead for the oil industry. John england 3 we entered 2016 in a state of uncertainty. Market uncertainty has led the industry to a rapidlychanging range of expectations for the oil price ye 2017 brent forecasts. The subsectors with the highest percentage of negative outlooks primarily are oilfield. This publication has been written as a general investment.
The russian oil refining industry will undergo significant. The import dependency of crude oil and lng during 2018 was 82. In the low oil and gas resource and technology case, the conditions are unfavorable for u. India retained its spot as the third largest consumer of oil in the world in 2017 with consumption of 4. For the years to come, a growth rate of just above 3. Much of the oil and gas industry has survived an especially tough few years with weak demand and low prices. Appea represents the collective interest of australias upstream oil and gas industry.
These revised demand expectations ring true, for example in the failure of oil prices to rise. The sustained low prices of 2015 had not resulted in the collapse of the industry that many expected. Employment opportunities in canadas oil and gas industry. Without largescale use of new technologies, oil production in russia will begin to fall in 20162017.